Google started its annual I/O conference yesterday. It was packed full of AI applications showing that Google really is going ‘AI First.’ It even changed its research arm name from Google Research to Google AI.
But perhaps the most draw dropping demonstration was when Google used an AI to make calls and book appointments. I strongly recommend you spend 5 minutes and watch this.
Now this is obviously cherry picking. It would be great to hear conversations that didn’t go so well from the perspective of the AI but I think we can saw that Alan Turing would be jumping up and down for joy at this.
Suffice it to say, if an AI can do this, I would certainly be happy for it to make calls on my behalf. The utility of not having to have such conversations would be immense. Indeed, I use online options where ever possible just to avoid these.
However, as an economist, I need to consider the equilibrium. If you lower the cost of making calls, people will make more of them. For appointments, that may not be an issue but remember, there is a person on the other side of that call. At the point where the AI is good but not perfect, that may turn out to be very, very annoying. For this reason and perhaps others as well, many are advocating that you are informed if you are talking to a robot or not — as a public policy regulation. Their intent is against malicious AI that may harm the receiver.
We need to weigh this against potential costs. Will the calls be less effective if you know it is a machine first? If they aren’t good, then people will hang up on them. Moreover, if it is a standard announcement, there is no hope for Google — who may have a good AI — to distinguish itself from others that don’t. That said, while my instinct was against regulation, these costs, at first glance, do not seem that low and could well improve innovation in ways that benefit both sides of a call. Which machine is calling could be identified to so that receivers can distinguish the good from the bad.
The bigger concern is spam. Every other time we have given robots the ability to make calls it has ended up terribly. At the moment, generic robo calls are flooding phone networks. I no longer pick up from unknown numbers but that doesn’t stop them clogging up my voice mail.
My belief is that Google should use this new development to get ahead of the issue. At the moment, we have a human way of dealing with calls. You see a number and you decide to pick up. This is craziness. Instead, your phone should be able to screen calls for you. For starters, Google could have a signal that is sent with its calls that it is recognised by phones (or phone networks). Users can then pre-program whether they will accept such calls or not. This could then be used for robocalls as well and also for legitimate callers. I am not sure how to do this technically but this is the sort of thing that strikes me as very solvable. Do not call lists are old school and don’t work. It is time for the technology to improve.
Second, it seems to me that the era of machines talking to humans is likely to be a very short lived one. Yes, Google’s demonstration is impressive. But really. What should happen is that the hairdresser or restaurant has its own machine answering the call — we could call it an ‘answering machine.’ They get the signal that it is a machine calling and they use a machine to answer. There is no conversation as we would recognise it. No need for ‘hmms’ etc. Instead, the appointment would be negotiated. The bottom line is that the issues everyone is concerned about today really don’t seem like the real issues.
The missing ingredient in all this is a standard for identifying machine callers (potentially quite deeply). Along with this, security elements could be backed in so that a machines could not be tricked into revealing too much. For instance, one could imagine that a celebrity’s schedule could be discovered through such calls.