Generative AI has created a gold rush today, but that rush has not yet grown into either a productivity boom or a financial bubble. There are good reasons to think this rush could become either one.Which one is just around the corner? Could it be both? In case you forgot, we did live through a …
After the Gold Rush
The commercial future of AI will soon be bigger than the actions of any firm, individual, research team, or open-source community. In the near term, a massive tailwind of potential use cases and nearly completed projects will determine the rate of progress in creating value for users and suppliers. Still, the source of the next …
The AI Gold Rush
Large language models (LLMs) have overrun commercial markets, more like a tsunami than a normal technical wave of interest. The topic is everywhere –news stories, blogs, podcasts, startup investments, analyst reports, hackathons, and government announcements. A virtual frenzy surrounds it. If you possess a technical background, you might find this frenzy puzzling. The technological roots …
The digital year in review 2023
It is time to review the year in digital technology. Oh, what fun! As with prior reviews, we will arrange this review like an award ceremony. There are three criteria for an award: It must involve digital technology. The key event must have taken place this year, 2023. And it must lend itself to sass …
Digital Year in Review
Crypto crashed, Musk mauled Twitter, and Messi made a deep fake mess. Every one of them deserves an award and ridicule. It is time for the digital awards of 2022.
Digital year in review 2021
It is time for the digital awards of 2021! This is a review of the year in digital technology, told with a bit of sass and snark. In keeping with the times, this year-in-review award ceremony will be a virtual experience. And what a year in digital it was. Digital played a role in helping …
Triggers, Transmissions, and Adjustments
Take a step back from the daily details of events. Compare the recession unfolding in the United States at this moment with the two previous downturns. Today’s economic events share a surprising set of common features with the dot-com boom and bust of 1997 to 2001, and fewer similarities with the financial meltdown of 2008-09. …
Uncomfortable economic waters
For IEEE Micro, July-August. The corona virus turned crowded places into transmission hot spots. Coffee shops, popular restaurants, and arenas closed in the United States in March, along with dentist offices, schools, and other places where super-spreading took place. Shelter-in-place mandates went into effect starting on March 17 in many states, and more than forty …
Misapplied metaphors in AI policy
Many querulous conversations fan the flames in policy debates about artificial intelligence. Everyone agrees we are transitioning to something, but not on what that will be. Anyone want to venture a guess? It is safe to bet on widespread use of neural networks and deep learning. Anything else? Some futurists also forecast a confrontation between …
Six Infrastructure Trends
Today internet infrastructure encompasses root servers, broadband lines, routers, content delivery net-works, cloud storage and cellular towers. Broadly construed, these physical assets perform two related and essential services for the modern digital economy. Infrastructure acts as an intermediate input for the production of many services by firms and it acts as an intermediate input into …